Anthropic downgraded cache TTL on March 6th

(github.com)

415 points | by lsdmtme 15 hours ago

41 comments

  • sunaurus 11 hours ago

    Has anybody else noticed a pretty significant shift in sentiment when discussing Claude/Codex with other engineers since even just a few months ago? Specifically because of the secret/hidden nature of these changes.

    I keep getting the sense that people feel like they have no idea if they are getting the product that they originally paid for, or something much weaker, and this sentiment seems to be constantly spreading. Like when I hear Anthropic mentioned in the past few weeks, it's almost always in some negative context.

    • andai 10 hours ago

      Well, off the top of my head:

      - Banning OpenClaw users (within their rights, of course, but bad optics)

      - Banning 3rd party harnesses in general (ditto)

      (claude -p still works on the sub but I get the feeling like if I actually use it, I'll get my Anthropic acct. nuked. Would be great to get some clarity on this. If I invoke it from my Telegram bot, is that an unauthorized 3rd party harness?)

      - Lowering reasoning effort (and then showing up here saying "we'll try to make sure the most valuable customers get the non-gimped experience" (paraphrasing slightly xD))

      - Massively reduced usage (apparently a bug?) The other day I got 21x more usage spend on the same task for Claude vs Codex.

      - Noticed a very sharp drop in response length in the Claude app. Asked Claude about it and it mentioned several things in the system prompt related to reduced reasoning effort, keeping responses as brief as possible, etc.

      It's all circumstantial but everything points towards "desperately trying to cut costs".

      I love Claude and I won't be switching any time soon (though with the usage limits I'm increasingly using Codex for coding), but it's getting hard to recommend it to friends lately. I told a friend "it was the best option, until about two weeks ago..." Now it's up in the air.

      • rlpb 10 hours ago

        > It's all circumstantial but everything points towards "desperately trying to cut costs".

        I have been wondering if it's more geared at reducing resource usage, given that at the moment there's a known constraint on AI datacenter expansion capability. Perhaps they are struggling to meet demand?

        • stingraycharles 7 hours ago

          It’s more that Anthropic knows that the models themselves are non-sticky, and the real moat is in the ecosystem around it.

          It only makes sense for them to get users to use their ecosystem, rather than other tools.

          • oorza 1 hour ago

            See: Claude Cowork trying to establish an entire new group of people in their ecosystem.

          • sshine 8 hours ago

            > Perhaps Anthropic is struggling to meet demand?

            Yes, definitely, they’re gracefully failing to meet demand. They could also deny new customers, but it would probably be bad for business.

            • leesalminen 3 hours ago

              I once decided to deny new customers in order to be able to service current demand at the quality we wanted. It backfired and made people want our product even more. Our phones were blowing up. That approach can have unintended consequences!

              • ayewo 4 minutes ago

                Another knob you could have turned is: raise prices. Did you try this?

                • sunnybeetroot 1 hour ago

                  You unintentionally used a common sales tactic; by decreasing supply you increase demand.

                • 59nadir 1 hour ago

                  Bad for business and probably unwise for the type of product people will pop their head in to check on, then stop paying and return much later to see whether it's still not much more than a parlor trick for them.

                • MuffinFlavored 4 hours ago

                  I wish they would just rip the bandaid to stop everybody's entitled whining.

                  "We're sorry, what we were able to give you for $100/mo before now needs to be $200/mo (or more). We miscalculated/we were too generous/gave too much away for too little. It's a new technology, we are seeing a ton of demand, we are trying to run a business, hope you understand. If you don't want it, don't pay for it."

                  • schmookeeg 3 hours ago

                    This is my take too, although I'm not prepared for a max400 reality to replace the max200, but... I hate all of the whingeing. Piggies at the buffet line seem to be the loudest on this subject.

                    • oorza 1 hour ago

                      Are we at the point where there are external constraints that cash can't solve?

                      • jazzyjackson 19 minutes ago

                        can't tell if you're being facetious but yes, there's not enough cash in the world to double energy/silicon fab capacity in a year. Infrastructure takes time, hardware is hard, and you have to be willing to bet that the demand will be there 5 years from now to make an investment today.

                      • raw_anon_1111 1 hour ago

                        Just put everyone on pay per use with the API and rip the band aid off.

                        • 73738488484 2 hours ago

                          It is one thing to pay 100 a month to make calendar apps for your linkedin and birds on bicycles to get invited to talks, paying 200 HOWEVER

                          • sunnybeetroot 1 hour ago

                            If we didn’t have the birds on bicycles, how would we know the models are getting better?

                      • deaux 5 hours ago

                        > (claude -p still works on the sub but I get the feeling like if I actually use it, I'll get my Anthropic acct. nuked. Would be great to get some clarity on this. If I invoke it from my Telegram bot, is that an unauthorized 3rd party harness?)

                        How often? Realistically, if you invoke it occasionally, for what's clearly an amount that's "reasonable personal use", then no you don't get nuked.

                        • ls612 4 hours ago

                          It’s the same problem people have with Google. If they ban you for some AI hallucinated reason you have no recourse other than going viral on Hacker News.

                          • deaux 4 hours ago

                            I haven't seen a single case of that happening with Anthropic yet. Every time someone has gotten banned it's because they either used third party harnesses which went to great lengths to impersonate claude code (obvious evasion), or because they set things up so it maxxed out their usage 24/7.

                            I'll change my mind when I see otherwise.

                            And this isn't being positive about Anthropic support or their treatment of users, as I too have seen lots of people here getting billed by them for stuff they never paid for, blatant fraud. That's even worse than Google. I'm only talking about getting banned for usage.

                        • Bolwin 3 hours ago

                          Claude -p is allowed. They're not going to give you a feature then ban you for using it.

                          What they changed is that it now uses extra usage, which is charged at api rates

                          • wild_egg 2 hours ago

                            It only switches to charging API rates if some part of your prompt triggers their magic string detector. Lot of examples of that floating around where swapping "is" for "are" or whatever will magically allow the request against your subscription plan again.

                          • rendaw 4 hours ago

                            They also screwed up the API token detection and also blocked a bunch of 1st party tool users for ~24h.

                            Support consisted of AI bots saying you did something stupid, you did something wrong, you were abusing the system, followed by (only when I asked for it explicitly) claiming to file a ticket with a human who will contact you later (and it either didn't happen or their ticket system is /dev/null).

                            (By the way this is the 2nd time I've been "please hold" gaslit by support LLMs this exact same way, the other being with Square)

                            • fluidcruft 7 hours ago

                              claude -p not working would be instant unsubscribe downgrade from Max to Pro and further drive my use of codex. I use both but overall have noticed I reach for Claude less than codex lately because claude keeps getting slower and slower (I have not noticed a drop off in quality, but I use it less and less so maybe I'm not in a good position to notice).

                              Generally I find codex and claude make a good team. I'm not a heavy user, but I am currently Claude Max 5x and ChatGPT Plus. Now that OpenAI has a $100 offering and I am finding myself using Claude less, I am considering switching to Claude Pro and ChatGPT Pro x5. The work hours restriction on Claude Max x5 really pisses me off.

                              I am not a heavy user. Historically I only break over 50% weekly one week a month and average about 30-40% of Max x5 over the entire month. I went Max because of the weekly limits and to access the better models and because I felt I was getting value. I need an occasional burst of usage, not 24/7 slow compute. But even for pay-as-you-go burst usage Anthropic's API prices are insane vs Max.

                              I have yet to ever hit a limit on codex so it's not on my mind. And lately it seems like Claude is likely to be having a service interruption anyway. A big part of subscribing to Claude Max was to get away from how the usage limits on Pro were causing me to architect my life around 5hr windows. And now Anthropic has brought that all back with this don't use it before 2pm bullshit. I want things ready to go when the muses strike. I'm honestly questioning whether Anthropic wants anyone who isn't employed as a software engineer to use their kit.

                              Anyway for the last month or so codex "just works" and Claude has been an invitation for annoyances. There was a time when codex was quite a bit behind claude-code. They have been roughly equal (different strength and weaknesses) since at least February (for me).

                              • visarga 3 hours ago

                                I might consider switching to codex from claude pro 20x but I need the post tool use, pre file write and post user message hooks. Waiting on codex to deliver.

                                - pre file write -> block editing code files without a task and plan of work

                                - post tool use -> show next open checkbox in the task to the agent, like an instruction pointer

                                - post user message -> log all user messages for periodic review of intent alignment

                                These 3 hooks + plain md files make my claude harness.

                                • tinodb 37 minutes ago

                                  I use codex through the pi agent. It’s wonderful and easy to create whatever extension or hook you want!

                                  I’d use it with Claude too if they hadn’t banned it…

                                  • sunnybeetroot 1 hour ago

                                    Why couldn’t you use Claude code harness with codex? The requests can be proxied to OpenAI.

                                    • glasner 2 hours ago

                                      I am cooking up an abstraction that enables these hooks on codex. Would love to have you kick the tires.

                                  • timtimmy 2 hours ago

                                    Perhaps Anthropic should put a freeze on new signups until they can increase capacity. This is the best kind of problem for a business, I'm cheering for them.

                                    • sscaryterry 7 minutes ago

                                      This requires ethics.

                                      • greenavocado 1 hour ago

                                        If there is one thing that is crystal clear, its that LLM providers will always take your money, no matter how bad the service is.

                                      • retinaros 16 minutes ago

                                        i dont know why ppl are surprised. you just need to see what they say on china, open source and fake safety blogs to understand they re not a company that devs should give their code for free to

                                        • joshstrange 10 hours ago

                                          > (claude -p still works on the sub but I get the feeling like if I actually use it, I'll get my Anthropic acct. nuked. Would be great to get some clarity on this. If I invoke it from my Telegram bot, is that an unauthorized 3rd party harness?)

                                          100% this, I’ve posted the same sentiment here on HN. I hate the chilling effect of the bans and the lack of clarity on what is and is not allowed.

                                          • stingraycharles 7 hours ago

                                            In this case, they handled things pretty well. You can still use openclaw etc with your regular Anthropic subscription, it will just count towards your extra credits / usage which you can buy for a 30% discount compared to API pricing. And they gave everyone one month’s value in credits.

                                            I don’t think they could have done that much better I’d say.

                                            • cedws 6 hours ago

                                              That does not address joshstrange's concerns.

                                              There is very poor clarity about what is and isn't allowed with the Claude SDK/claude -p. Are we allowed to use it to automate stuff? What kind of tasks is it permitted to be used for? What if you call your script 'OrangeClaw' and release that on GitHub? What if your script gets super popular, does it suddenly become against TOS?

                                              • joshstrange 5 hours ago

                                                This is exactly my point. At what point does it become a ToS violation? Right now it's a huge grey area and the idea of getting my account banned because I crossed an invisible line with zero recourse other than to switch providers is... frustrating.

                                                • deaux 5 hours ago

                                                  It's pretty easy to read between the lines tbh. Personal, non-automated use is fine. Using it as a means to automate depleting your 5-hour limit 24/7 ("leftover usage") is not fine. They don't want to put in in the ToS because it's almost impossible because writing what I just said will still have people going "well what's automated, where's the exact line!" when it's all pretty clear what the intended use case here is. The Anthropic peeps have said about as much.

                                                  I get that the traditional dev is allergic to the concept of reading between the lines and demands everything to be spelled out explicitly, but maybe you should just see it as something to learn because it's an incredibly useful life skill.

                                                  • cedws 5 hours ago

                                                    Ok, let's say I'm not using it to deplete leftover usage, the task just happens to run down the 5 hour window usage.

                                                    Are you willing to bet your account over whether you've read between the lines correctly? Anthropic aren't going to listen to appeals.

                                                    • deaux 5 hours ago

                                                      > the task just happens to run down the 5 hour window usage.

                                                      In a single prompt? From zero usage? That doesn't "just happen".

                                                      • cedws 5 hours ago

                                                        When you're using the SDK, yes it can. Example: I used the Python SDK to translate a bunch of source code recently. I spawned a subagent for each module that needed translating and left it to run for a few hours with a parallelism limit of 5. It blasted through the 5 hour usage and dug into extra usage credits.

                                                        I have zero assurances that the above can't result in a ban. The usage pattern is not distinct from OpenClaw.

                                                        • deaux 4 hours ago

                                                          As I said, it doesn't just happen, you explicitly had to set it up so it could happen.

                                                          • kuboble 2 hours ago

                                                            I'm confused about this comment.

                                                            The GP has described a task which feels like a task very well within intended usage of CC, but can easily eat up the usage limit.

                                                            What should we read between the lines about this scenario?

                                                            Is it a bannable offense?

                                                    • joshstrange 5 hours ago

                                                      That "non-automated" part is where I feel like there is a lack of clarity. They even have some stuff in to allow for scheduling in Claude Code. Seems similar to a cron but "non-automated" would rule out using a cron (right?). I'd love to feel comfortable setting up daily/hourly tasks for Claude Code but that feels iffy. Like I said, I don't think the line is clear.

                                                      • deaux 4 hours ago

                                                        The lack of clarity doesn't matter because they obviously can't tell if you ran a claude -p a few times today with usual prompts or whether your cron job did. It's impossible for them to reliably tell.

                                                        It can tell if your cron is running them every 10 minutes 24/7, because basic biology rules out you doing that for more than a day or so.

                                                • sunnybeetroot 1 hour ago

                                                  One month’s value in credits does not equal the value of one month’s subscription. They could have done better.

                                                  • andai 5 hours ago

                                                    Wait, this is news to me. I thought 3rd party use of the sub was unequivocally prohibited?

                                                    If I'm understanding you correctly: they changed that policy, you can now use 3rd party software unofficially with the undocumented Claude Code endpoint, and their servers auto-detect this and charge you extra for it?

                                                    EDIT: Yeah, something like that?

                                                    > Starting April 4 at 12pm PT / 8pm BST, you’ll no longer be able to use your Claude subscription limits for third-party harnesses including OpenClaw. Instead, they’ll require extra usage.

                                                    https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47633568

                                                    This seems to mean that unauthorized usage of the sub endpoint is tolerated now (and billed as though it were the regular API). And possibly affects claude -p, though I don't know yet.

                                                • politelemon 10 hours ago

                                                  Why were third party harnesses banned? Surely they'd want sticking power over the ecosystem.

                                                  • lelanthran 1 hour ago

                                                    > Why were third party harnesses banned? Surely they'd want sticking power over the ecosystem.

                                                    Third-party harnesses are the exact opposite of stickiness!

                                                    Ditching Claude Code for a third party harness while using the Claude Code subscription means it's trivial to switch to a different model when you {run out of credits | find a cheaper token provider | find a better model}.

                                                    • cedws 10 hours ago

                                                      There’s the argument that Anthropic has built Claude Code to use the models efficiently, which the subscription pricing is based on.

                                                      Maybe there’s some truth to that, but then why haven’t OpenAI made the same move? I believe the main reason is platform control. Anthropic can’t survive as a pipeline for tokens, they need to build and control a platform, which means aggressively locking out everybody else building a platform.

                                                      • snovv_crash 32 minutes ago

                                                        I think it's a training data thing. They can only gather valid training data from real human interactions, so they don't want to subsidize tokens for purely automated interactions.

                                                        • Zetaphor 9 hours ago

                                                          Alternatively products like openclaw have an outsized impact on Anthropic's infrastructure for essentially no benefit to them. Especially when you're taking advantage of the $200 plan.

                                                          OpenAI has never shyed away from burning mountains of cash to try and capture a little more market share. They paid a billion dollars for a vibe coded mess just for the opportunity to associate themselves with the hype.

                                                          • plusplusungood 5 hours ago

                                                            > Taking advantage of the $200 plan.

                                                            No, I'm paying $200 a month for a premium product that I expect premium service for. It's the single most expensive IT expense I have. Taking advantage my foot.

                                                            • 59nadir 59 minutes ago

                                                              Can you imagine paying the actual cost of it, or a subscription cost that at least ballpark matched it? I don't think I have a single friend or acquaintance who realistically would.

                                                              • infecto 3 hours ago

                                                                You are simply a bit too entitled. It's not a premium product and honestly not that expensive in my opinion either (though that is going to depend on your location).

                                                                You are more than able to pay for API rates.

                                                                • charcircuit 3 hours ago

                                                                  It's not a premium product. It's just expensive.

                                                                • qeternity 2 hours ago

                                                                  > They paid a billion dollars for a vibe coded mess just for the opportunity to associate themselves with the hype.

                                                                  Lol no they didn't. It wasn't even an acquihire. They just hired Peter.

                                                                  Maybe they are paying him incredibly well, but not a billion dollars well.

                                                              • klempner 8 hours ago

                                                                Note that the thing that's banned is using third party harnesses with their subscription based pricing.

                                                                If you're paying normal API prices they'll happily let you use whatever harness you want.

                                                                • sshine 8 hours ago

                                                                  One thing is lack of control of token efficiency on what’s already a subsidised product.

                                                                  Another thing is branding: Their CLI might be the best right now, but tech debt says it won’t continue to be for very long.

                                                                  By enforcing the CLI you enforce the brand value — you’re not just buying the engine.

                                                                • visarga 3 hours ago

                                                                  I want to differentiate 2 kinds of harnesses

                                                                  1. openclaw like - using the LLM endpoint on subscription billing, different prompts than claude code

                                                                  2. using claude cli with -p, in headless mode

                                                                  The second runs through their code and prompts, just calls claude in non-interactive mode for subtasks. I feel especially put off by restricting the second kind. I need it to run judge agents to review plans and code.

                                                                  • brookst 8 hours ago

                                                                    To be clear they weren’t banned from Claude usage, they were required to use the API and API rates rather than Claude Max tokens.

                                                                    Claude code uses a bunch if best practices to maximize cache hit rate. Third party harnesses are hit or miss, so often use a lot more tokens for the same task.

                                                                    • ledauphin 7 hours ago

                                                                      nah this doesn't explain it.

                                                                      most of the users of those third party harnesses care just as much about hitting cache and getting more usage.

                                                                      • SyneRyder 7 hours ago

                                                                        I'm watching a conference talk right now from 2 weeks ago: "I Hated Every Coding Agent So I Built My Own - Mario Zechner (Pi)", and in the middle he directly references this.

                                                                        He demonstrates in the code that OpenCode aggressively trims context, by compacting on every turn, and pruning all tool calls from the context that occurred more than 40,000 tokens ago. Seems like it could be a good strategy to squeeze more out of the context window - but by editing the oldest context, it breaks the prompt cache for the entire conversation. There is effectively no caching happening at all.

                                                                        https://youtu.be/Dli5slNaJu0

                                                                        • brookst 1 hour ago

                                                                          Sure. The question is whether they have the same level of expertise and prioritization that Anthropic does.

                                                                        • lacunary 7 hours ago

                                                                          but claude -p is still Claude Code

                                                                          • danmaz74 7 hours ago

                                                                            Was something using that been banned?

                                                                            • SyneRyder 7 hours ago

                                                                              Yep, that's the reason for the new Extra Credit feature in Claude Code. Some people were wiring up "Claude -p" with OpenClaw, so now Anthropic detects if the system prompt contains the phrase OpenClaw, and bills from Extra Credit if that happens:

                                                                              https://x.com/steipete/status/2040811558427648357

                                                                              "Anthropic now blocks first-party harness use too

                                                                              claude -p --append-system-prompt 'A personal assistant running inside OpenClaw.' 'is clawd here?'

                                                                              → 400 Third-party apps now draw from your extra usage, not your plan limits.

                                                                              So yeah: bring your own coin "

                                                                    • esperent 10 hours ago

                                                                      > claude -p still works on the sub but I get the feeling like if I actually use it, I'll get my Anthropic acct. nuked

                                                                      I've used it with a sub a lot. Concurrency of 40 writing descriptions of thousands of images, running for hours on sonnet.

                                                                      I have a lot of complaints. I've cancelled my $200 subscription and when it runs out in a few days I'll have to find something else.

                                                                      But claude -p is fine.

                                                                      ... Or it was 2 week ago. Who knows if they've silently throttled it by now?

                                                                      • andai 9 hours ago

                                                                        The other day I read that letting another agent invoke claude -p was considered a violation (i.e. letting OpenClaw delegate to Claude Code).

                                                                        Not sure how that's enforced though. I was in OpenClaw discord a while ago and enforcement seemed a bit random.

                                                                        I'll try to find the source, I might have gotten the details mixed up.

                                                                        • jeremyjh 7 hours ago

                                                                          It’s not a “violation” but they said it would be charged as extra usage.

                                                                          • zackify 7 hours ago

                                                                            This is a funny cat and mouse game. They offer a built in loop command.

                                                                            Just tmux and use that.

                                                                            Soon if they drop -p people will just vibe code in 5 minutes a way to type inside it remotely similar to their own built in remote access tool. Seems like a losing game from anthropics side

                                                                      • stefan_ 2 hours ago

                                                                        I think we are about a month away from a class action lawsuit, at their revenue they are a juicy target. And god knows they got the entirely self inflicted unholy combination going on, marketing & sales that borders on fraud (X times the usage of plan Y which has Z times of free tier which has unknowable "magic tokens") and then of course the actual fraud, reducing usage in fifteen different non obvious non public ways.

                                                                        • risyachka 10 hours ago

                                                                          >> apparently a bug?

                                                                          it's a bug only if they get a harsh public response, otherwise it becomes a feature

                                                                          • OtomotO 2 hours ago

                                                                            A bug for one side can be a feature for another

                                                                          • infecto 3 hours ago

                                                                            Most of those are issues are coming from a very small minority. A lot of times its good for businesses to focus on the customers that are driving them the highest margin, most likely not users like yourself.

                                                                            1) Nobody should expect to use OpenClaw without API usage.

                                                                            2) We have known for a long time that the plans are subsidized. It was not as big of a deal but now that demand has continued to explode at a multiple and tools like OpenClaw were creating a lot of usage from a small minority of customers, prices change.

                                                                            Everything for me points more towards, we have made a service people really want to use and we are trying to balance a supply shortage (compute) with pricing. Nothing is stopping folks like yourself from simply paying the API rates. It is the simple no hassle way to get around any issue you are having, pay the API cost and you will have no limitations!

                                                                          • jclardy 1 hour ago

                                                                            Just anecdotal, but I was using Claude Code for everything a few months ago, and it seemed great. Now, it is making a ton of mistakes, doing the wrong thing, misunderstanding context, and just generally being unusable.

                                                                            I now have been using Codex and everything has been great (I still swap back and forth but generally to check things out.)

                                                                            My theory is just that the models are great after release to get people switching, then they cut them back in capabilities slowly over time until the next major release to increase the hype cycle.

                                                                            • oorza 1 hour ago

                                                                              Is it the models themselves or the tools around them? There's that patch[1] that floats around for Claude Code that's supposed to solve a lot of these problems by adjusting its tool-level prompts. Also, if it were the models themselves, wouldn't Cursor users have the same complaints (do they? I haven't heard anything but the only Cursor users I talk to are coworkers)?

                                                                              I think it's more likely they're trying to optimize the Claude Code prompts to reduce load on their system and have overcorrected at the cost of quality.

                                                                              1: https://gist.github.com/roman01la/483d1db15043018096ac3babf5...

                                                                              • MattDamonSpace 1 hour ago

                                                                                Part hypecycle, part desperate attempts to rein in usage

                                                                              • zazibar 10 hours ago

                                                                                A month ago the company I work at with over 400 engineers decided to cancel all IDE subscriptions (Visual Studio, JetBrains, Windsurf, etc.) and move everyone over to Claude Code as a "cost-saving measure" (along with firing a bunch of test engineers). There was no migration plan - the EVP of Technology just gave a demo showing 2 greenfield projects he'd built with Claude Opus over a weekend and told everyone to copy how he worked. A week later the EVP had to send out an email telling people to stop using Opus because they were burning through too many tokens.

                                                                                Claude seems to be getting nerfed every week since we've switched. I wonder how our EVP is feeling now.

                                                                                • derangedHorse 10 hours ago

                                                                                  Pretty bad decision on his part. I've been telling other engineers within my company who felt threatened by AI that this would happen. That prices would rise and the marginal cost for changes to big codebases would start to exceed the cost of an engineer's salary. API credits are expensive, especially for huge contexts, and sometimes the model will use $200 in credits trying to solve a problem that could be fixed in an hour by a good engineer with enough context.

                                                                                  It kind of reminds me of the joke where a plumber charges $500 for a 5 minute visit. When the client complains the plumber says it's $50 for labor and $450 for knowing how to fix the problem.

                                                                                  • christoph 9 hours ago

                                                                                    A good lesson for all - I always really liked the Picasso version:

                                                                                    In a bustling restaurant, an excited patron recognized the famous artist Picasso dining alone. Seizing the moment, the patron approached Picasso with a simple request. With a plain napkin and a big smile, he asked the artist for a drawing. He promised payment for his troubles. Picasso, ever the creator, didn’t hesitate. From his pocket, he produced a charcoal pencil and he brought to life a stunning sketch of a goat on the napkin—a clear mark of his unique style. Proudly, he presented it to the patron.

                                                                                    The artwork mesmerized the patron, who reached out to take it, only to be stopped by Picasso’s firm hand. “That will be $100,000,” Picasso declared.

                                                                                    Astonished, the patron balked at the sum. “But it took you just a few seconds to draw this!”

                                                                                    With a calm demeanor, Picasso took back the napkin, crumpled it, and tucked it away into his pocket, replying, “No, it has taken me a lifetime.”

                                                                                    • airstrike 7 hours ago

                                                                                      Good story but not applicable at all

                                                                                    • jrpear 3 hours ago

                                                                                      Even if you take it as true that prices have risen recently, and may continue to rise as the VC subsidies dry up, they will fall again long-term. Inference will get more power efficient with model-on-chip solutions like Taalas and God willing we will get cheaper and cheaper renewable energy.

                                                                                      Despite this I don't think engineers should feel threatened. As long as there is a need for a human in the loop, as today, there will still be engineering jobs. And if demand for engineering effort is elastic enough, there could easily be even more jobs tomorrow.

                                                                                      Rather than threatened, I think engineers should feel exposed. To danger, yes, but opportunity as well.

                                                                                      • travoc 1 hour ago

                                                                                        Increased demand will not drive down energy costs.

                                                                                      • charcircuit 3 hours ago

                                                                                        >That prices would rise

                                                                                        Competition will prevent that from happening. When anyone can host open models and there is giant demand for LLMs companies can not easily raise token prices without sending a lot of traffic to their competitors.

                                                                                        • breton 5 hours ago

                                                                                          > the model will use $200 in credits trying to solve a problem that could be fixed in an hour by a good engineer with enough context

                                                                                          So the price for fixing the problem is equal. Sounds like a great argument for AI.

                                                                                          • malinens 5 hours ago

                                                                                            99% of software developers earn less than 200 USD a hour

                                                                                            • d1sxeyes 3 hours ago

                                                                                              That “with enough context” is doing a lot of work here. If you take a great engineer, drop them in front of an unfamiliar codebase, it’ll take them more than an hour to do most non-trivial tasks.

                                                                                            • OlivOnTech 5 hours ago

                                                                                              Most good engineers are way cheaper than that. The world is bigger than the united states.

                                                                                              • collingreen 4 hours ago

                                                                                                Equal sounds like a terrible argument given all the other problems with replacing engineering thought with ai. I don't know where the line is but I expect it's far beyond equal AND there needs to be a level of "this can debug effectively in production" before that makes any sense for a real business case.

                                                                                            • groundzeros2015 7 hours ago

                                                                                              I can’t believe how many small to mid size companies are being destroyed by bad decisions like this.

                                                                                              A friend’s company fired all EMs and have engineers reporting to product managers. They aren’t allowed to do refactors because the CTO believes the AI doesn’t need organized code.

                                                                                            • kubb 7 hours ago

                                                                                              He must be feeling pretty good, after all he still believes that it was the right call, and he definitely won't be admitting a mistake.

                                                                                              There's 0 chance of him facing the consequences for it either.

                                                                                              • dickersnoodle 10 hours ago

                                                                                                Hopefully that EVP feels embarrassed that a big bet was made that not only didn't pay off but left the company in a worse position. Some schadenfreude may be all you can expect, since this is an executive.

                                                                                                • sgt 7 hours ago

                                                                                                  But cancelling IDE subscriptions? You need a proper IDE to along side AI augmented development unless you want to simply be along for the ride.

                                                                                                  • slashdave 4 hours ago

                                                                                                    Well, you can resubscribe in an afternoon. The fired workers? No real recovery from that.

                                                                                                    • derwiki 7 hours ago

                                                                                                      Free VS Code is probably fine

                                                                                                      • sgt 5 hours ago

                                                                                                        I'm using the JetBrains IDE's and it's definitely worth paying for, even in the age of AI.

                                                                                                    • jimmydoe 5 hours ago

                                                                                                      lol. dude is so incompetent. changing tool for cost cutting is so stupid, we all know real cost cutting is firing people. if he is really good at he's doing, just fire 10% people and replace them with his Claude. If that didn't get backfired in 3 months, he will be CT0.

                                                                                                      • thefourthchime 4 hours ago

                                                                                                        Wow, that sounds like you have a astoundingly terrible EVP.

                                                                                                      • matheusmoreira 11 hours ago

                                                                                                        I certainly noticed a significant drop in reasoning power at some point after I subscribed to Claude. Since then I've applied all sorts of fixes that range from disabling adaptive thinking to maxing out thinking tokens to patching system prompts with an ad-hoc shell script from a gist. Even after all this, Opus will still sometimes go round and round in illogical circles, self-correcting constantly with the telltale "no wait" and undoing everything until it ends up right where it started with nothing to show for it after 100k tokens spent.

                                                                                                        Whether it's due to bugs or actual malice, it's not a good look. I genuinely can't tell if it's buggy, if it's been intentionally degraded, if it's placebo or if it's all just an elaborate OpenAI psyop.

                                                                                                        • beering 3 hours ago

                                                                                                          The real question I see nobody asking is how GPT-5.4 beats Opus at a fraction of the price. I doubt it’s only a question of subsidization. My impression from the past is that GPT-5 was around a Sonnet-sized model, and 5-mini was Haiku-sized. At least on my codebase anyways, Codex one-shots tricky things that Opus needs several tries to fully get right.

                                                                                                          • matheusmoreira 2 hours ago

                                                                                                            I wanted to choose Anthropic because they were apparently more ethical compared to OpenAI, but... Yeah.

                                                                                                            Right now the only blocker for me is the lack of Linux support.

                                                                                                        • babaganoosh89 11 hours ago
                                                                                                      • jakobnissen 11 hours ago

                                                                                                        Yeah I’ve seen this too. It’s difficult for me to tell if the complaints are due to a legitimate undisclosed nerf of Claude, or whether it’s just the initial awe of Opus 4.6 fading and people increasingly noticing its mistakes.

                                                                                                        • babaganoosh89 11 hours ago

                                                                                                          It's not just you, there is a github issue for it: https://github.com/anthropics/claude-code/issues/42796

                                                                                                          • PunchyHamster 11 hours ago

                                                                                                            Both can be a thing at same time

                                                                                                            • kingkongjaffa 11 hours ago

                                                                                                              Just one more anecdote:

                                                                                                              I'm on the enterprise team plan so a decent amount of usage.

                                                                                                              In March I could use Opus all day and it was getting great results.

                                                                                                              Since the last week of March and into April, I've had sessions where I maxed out session usage under 2 hours and it got stuck in overthinking loops, multiple turns of realising the same thing, dozens of paragraphs of "But wait, actually I need to do x" with slight variations of the same realisation.

                                                                                                              This is not the 'thinking effort' setting in claude code, I noticed this happening across multiple sessions with the same thinking effort settings, there was clearly some underlying change that was not published that made the model get stuck in thinking loops more for longer and more often without any escape hatch to stop and prompt the user for additional steering if it gets stuck.

                                                                                                              • chrsw 1 hour ago

                                                                                                                I'm also an enterprise user and this has been my experience exactly. Same asks, same code bases, same models, much worse results. Everyone on my team is expressing the same thing.

                                                                                                                Not only that, but the lack of transparency about what's happening, in clear and simple terms, directly from Anthropic is concerning.

                                                                                                                I've already told my org's higher ups that in the current situation we're not close to getting our money's worth with these models.

                                                                                                                • UqWBcuFx6NV4r 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                  Whenever I see Opus say “but wait, …”—which is all the time—I get a little bit closer toward throwing my computer out the window. Sometimes I just collapse the thinking section, cross my fingers, and wait for the answer. It’s too frustrating watching the thinking process.

                                                                                                                  • natpalmer1776 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                    I stop the thinking and manually correct with explicit instructions or direction. I treat my agents like well meaning ivy-league graduate interns. They lack the experience to know what to do sometimes and need a “common sense” direction every now and then.

                                                                                                                    • oldmanhorton 6 hours ago

                                                                                                                      Have you considered just… writing code? Like we used to in the good old days? If the tool drives you to that point of frustration, maybe it’s time to give the tool a break.

                                                                                                                      • trollbridge 30 minutes ago

                                                                                                                        A lot of folks aren't "allowed" to write code anymore.

                                                                                                                    • gfody 4 hours ago

                                                                                                                      this timing matches my experience, enterprise plan, but using opus from vscode - finished a heavy refactor of a large C# codebase mid march, tried to do basically the same thing early april and couldn't

                                                                                                                      • adahn 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                        I’ve seen the point raised elsewhere that this could be the double usage promo that was available from the 13th of March to the 28th. ie. people getting used to the promo then feeling impacted when it finished.

                                                                                                                        Although it seems that enterprise wasn’t included, so maybe not in your case.

                                                                                                                        https://support.claude.com/en/articles/14063676-claude-march...

                                                                                                                        • cyanydeez 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                          its sounds like, tinfoil hat, they reduced the quant size of their model and tried to mask the change with the promo. your theory only addresses the spend not the reduced realiability

                                                                                                                        • derangedHorse 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                          It's probably because you didn't specify "make no mistakes" /s

                                                                                                                          In all seriousness though, I've observed the same thing with my own usage.

                                                                                                                        • iLoveOncall 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                          I think there's a much more nefarious reason that you're missing.

                                                                                                                          It's pretty clear that OpenAI has consistently used bots on social networks to peddle their products. This could just be the next iteration, mass spreading lies about Anthropic to get people to flock back to their own products.

                                                                                                                          That would explain why a lot of users in the comments of those posts are claiming that they don't see any changes to limits.

                                                                                                                          • javawizard 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                            The trouble with that argument, though, is that it works the other way as well: how do I, a random internet citizen, know that you're not doing the same thing for Anthropic with this comment?

                                                                                                                            (FWIW I have definitely noticed a cognitive decline with Claude / Opus 4.6 over the past month and a half or so, and unless I'm secretly working for them in my sleep, I'm definitely not an Anthropic employee.)

                                                                                                                            • felixgallo 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                              https://isitnerfed.org/

                                                                                                                              in short, it looks like nothing has been nerfed, but sentiment has definitely been negative. I suspect some of the openclaw users have been taking out their frustrations.

                                                                                                                              • javawizard 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                That's fascinating.

                                                                                                                                Any idea what their test harness looks like? My experience comes primarily from Claude Code; this makes me wonder if recent CC updates could be more to blame than Opus 4.6 itself.

                                                                                                                              • iLoveOncall 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                Oh it's pretty clear to me that Anthropic employs the same tactics and uses bots on socials to push its products too. On Reddit a couple of months ago it was simply unbearable with all the "Claude Opus is going to take all the jobs".

                                                                                                                                You definitely shouldn't trust me, as we're way beyond the point where you can trust ANYTHING on the internet that has a timestamp later than 2021 or so (and even then, of course people were already lying).

                                                                                                                                Personally I use Claude models through Bedrock because I work for Amazon, and I haven't noticed any decline. Instead it's always been pretty shit, and what people describe now as the model getting lost of infinite loops of talking to itself happened since the very start for me.

                                                                                                                              • hirako2000 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                Judging from the number of GitHub issues on Anthropic, shamelessly being dismissed as "fixed", I doubt openai needs the bots to tarnish that competitor.

                                                                                                                            • pxtail 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                              There's still plenty of "leave my fellow multbillion corp alone" type ones,it means that corp can and should screw it's loving customer base harder.

                                                                                                                              • simianwords 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                The enshittification meme has been taken too seriously to the point where it is shoehorned into every single place possible.

                                                                                                                                It is not in the interests for Anthropic to screw its customer base. Running a frontier lab comes with tradeoffs between training, inference and other areas.

                                                                                                                                • officialchicken 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                                  The investors are their customers - not the users of the end-product.

                                                                                                                                  • simianwords 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                                    This shows a lack of understanding of how markets work. Investors make money when the valuation of the company increases. The valuation of the company is the best prediction of future profit risk adjusted.

                                                                                                                                    How would anthropic increase future profits without satisfying customers?

                                                                                                                                    • jeremyjh 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                      Early investors make money when later investors buy them out at inflated valuations.

                                                                                                                                      • cowboylowrez 9 hours ago

                                                                                                                                        Well sure, all market signals should be considered. As a casual observer, my received signals have been indicating that AI is getting sold at a loss to get market share, and more recent signals have indicated that users are really really sensitive to both costs and performance.

                                                                                                                                        The weakest signal to me is investor money, because when you think of it, investors are betting on a future that may or may not be there. Heck even trends aren't guaranteed, "past performance is no guarantee etc etc"

                                                                                                                                        • bitwize 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                                          Have you seen the business models for these companies? Literal underpants gnome memes. OpenAI's goes like this:

                                                                                                                                          1. Build AGI

                                                                                                                                          2. Use said AGI to tell us how to become profitable

                                                                                                                                          3. Profit!

                                                                                                                                          Anthropic seems to be going all in on enterprise sales. Which means they don't actually have to please customers, or it's what ThePrimeagen humorously calls a "yacht problem"—a problem that only needs a solution after the IPO. For now all they have to do is convince corporate leadership that this is the future of work and sow enough FOMO to close those sales contracts and their projected sales, and stock valuation, goes through the roof.

                                                                                                                                          Of course that value will collapse if they go without delivering on their promises long enough. That's why they call it a bubble. But by then, hopefully, Dario and the early investors will be long gone and even richer than they were to start. Their only competitor, OpenAI, is confronted with the same issues: the scalability problems won't go away, and addressing them doesn't drive stock valuation the way promising high rollers that AGI and total workforce automation are just around the corner does.

                                                                                                                                      • georgemcbay 8 hours ago

                                                                                                                                        It doesn't matter if it is in Anthropic's interest to screw its customer base, if their reported monthly revenue growth is accurate then it makes perfect sense why Claude would be getting dumber...

                                                                                                                                        Demand is way up and compute supply is extremely limited because data center buildouts can't keep up with demand.

                                                                                                                                        In the face of rising demand and insufficient compute their only practical options (other than refusing new business until demand can be met) are signicantly raising the price of tokens (and more tighly limiting subscription options) or doing behind the scenes inference optimizations that are likely to make the model dumber.

                                                                                                                                        It is very easy to believe that they took the route of inference optimizations that have reduced quality of the service and that that is where the perceived enshittification is coming from.

                                                                                                                                    • indigodaddy 1 hour ago

                                                                                                                                      Is it perhaps not a model problem but a Claude Code harness problem?

                                                                                                                                      For instance on exe.dev VMs with Shelley agent/harness and Opus 4.5/4.6, I haven't noticed any deterioration.

                                                                                                                                      Any similar feedback perhaps from Opencode / GH Copilot subscription-provided Opus models?

                                                                                                                                      • ruler88 6 hours ago

                                                                                                                                        Anthropic seems to be playing the giant-tech-rent-capture game that all of the old guards have done for the past few years. We thought that the new age of AI might bring some fresh air into the mix, but I guess that optimism quickly faded.

                                                                                                                                        • Papazsazsa 1 hour ago

                                                                                                                                          Yes. Anthropic is burning much of the goodwill they built up in contrast to OAI, and I personally am taking it as a sign to limit dependencies. Luckily for me I am not at all dependent on frontier models, and it's increasingly apparent that nobody else is too.

                                                                                                                                          It looks like the spreadsheet-touchers over at Anthropic won out over the brand leaders, which is too bad as good will can be a trench if you don't abuse your customers.

                                                                                                                                          • beering 1 hour ago

                                                                                                                                            I think on HN we always underestimate how much momentum matters. Anthropic has so much clout and mindshare that even if they continue burning goodwill and everyone on HN ditches Claude Code and stops recommending it, they will still be revenue leader for years to come. Those enterprise contracts aren’t month-to-month.

                                                                                                                                          • LunaSea 1 hour ago

                                                                                                                                            > people feel like they have no idea if they are getting the product that they originally paid for

                                                                                                                                            They do indeed get the product they originally paid for.

                                                                                                                                            It's simply that they were suckers and didn't read the "fine" print of the product they bought.

                                                                                                                                            The label says "more tokens than the lower tier".

                                                                                                                                            • nojs 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                              My working theory is that all models are approximately the same, and the variance in quality mostly depends on how long they think for.

                                                                                                                                              So the trick is to always set to max, and then begin every task with “this is an extremely complex task, do not complete it without extensive deep thinking and research” or whatever.

                                                                                                                                              You’re basically fighting a battle to make the model think more, against the defaults getting more and more nerfed to save costs.

                                                                                                                                              • beering 1 hour ago

                                                                                                                                                My experience has been that this isn’t generally true, mainly because worse models pursue red herrings or get confused and stuck. a better model will get to the correct solution in fewer tokens, and my surface-level understanding of how RL works supports this.

                                                                                                                                              • taf2 3 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                I switched off claude when they nerfed opus 4.5 in August 2025, since then codex has clearly produced better code with fewer bugs. Opus 4.6 was more a temporary de-nerf of 4.5 but did not materially improve. codex has now a proven track record of producing stable results while introducing far fewer bugs.

                                                                                                                                                • trashface 4 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                  The $20 a month plan still seems like a pretty good deal for me (intermittent coding and not doing it for income).

                                                                                                                                                  • jitl 4 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                    I saw a big hit to Claude’s intelligence w/ the 1M context window model and the change to adaptive reasoning (github issue linked elsewhere in this thread).

                                                                                                                                                    I’m pretty much using 90% Codex now, although since Claude is consistently faster at answering quick questions, I still keep it open for that and for code-reviewing codex/human work before commit.

                                                                                                                                                    • oezi 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                      On OpenRouter token consumption is up 5x since November 2025. If this is indicative of the industries growth then I can't fathom how we will not hit resource constraints.

                                                                                                                                                      • swasheck 6 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                        it has been my go-to provider for things but i noticed extraordinarily high usage rate last month on a little side project i started so that i could learn about things that are interesting to me while helping my day to day responsibilities (creating an iceberg data lake from my existing parquet files). i used my month’s worth of corporate subscription allocated tokens in 3 days. never seen that before so now i’m a lot more apprehensive about getting into the weeds with claude but i’m also so much less impressed with the other available models for work in this domain.

                                                                                                                                                        • drzaiusx11 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                          At some point these AI companies need to pay the piper as it were and actually provide a return for their investors. Expect cost cutting attempts to continue unless backlash is great enough to pose an existential threat to these companies.

                                                                                                                                                          • AznHisoka 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                            Its not just engineers, and its not just about the 3rd party/rate limiting stuff. I feel like the reasoning capabilities have deteriorated too for non-coding tasks.

                                                                                                                                                            • raincole 1 hour ago

                                                                                                                                                              That's a seasonal phenomenon. You can save this comment and look back three to six months later. By the time people will be like "is it just me or ChatGPT has been so bad lately?"

                                                                                                                                                              If you don't believe me you can search HN posts about Codex/Claude six months ago.

                                                                                                                                                              • echelon 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                Anthropic isn't your friend.

                                                                                                                                                                Phase 1: $200/mo prosumer engineer tool

                                                                                                                                                                Phase 2: AI layoffs / "it's just AI washing"

                                                                                                                                                                Phase 3: $20,000/mo limited release model "too dangerous" to use

                                                                                                                                                                Phase 4: Accelerated layoffs / two person teams. Rehiring of certain personnel at lower costs.

                                                                                                                                                                Phase 5: "Our new model can decompile and rewrite any commercial software. We just wrote a new kernel after looking at Linux (bye, bye GPL!) We also decompiled the latest Zelda game, ported the engine to Rust, and made a new game with it. Source code has no value. Even compiled and obfuscated code is a breeze to clone."

                                                                                                                                                                Phase 6: $100k/mo model that replicates entire engineering teams, only large companies can afford it. Ordinary users can't buy. More layoffs.

                                                                                                                                                                Phase N: People can't afford computing anymore. Everything is thin clients and rented. It's become like the private railroad industry. End of the PC era. Like kids growing up on smartphones, there's nothing to tinker with anymore. And certainly no gradient for entrepreneurship for once-skilled labor capital.

                                                                                                                                                                Anothropic used to be cool before they started gating access. Limiting Claw/OpenCode was strike one. Mythos is strike two.

                                                                                                                                                                Y'all should have started hating on their ethics when they started complaining about being distilled. For training they conducted on materials they did not own.

                                                                                                                                                                We need open weights companies now more than ever. Too bad China seems to be giving up on the idea.

                                                                                                                                                                "You wouldn't distill an Opus."

                                                                                                                                                                • PunchyHamster 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                  Stop thinking billion dollar publicly traded companies are "cool" just because they make widget you like.

                                                                                                                                                                  You will be backstabbed

                                                                                                                                                                  You will be squeezed for all they can.

                                                                                                                                                                  And you will be betrayed.

                                                                                                                                                                  > Phase N: People can't afford computing anymore. Everything is thin clients and rented. It's become like the private railroad industry. End of the PC era. Like kids growing up on smartphones, there's nothing to tinker with anymore. And certainly no gradient for entrepreneurship for once-skilled labor capital.

                                                                                                                                                                  Thankfully none of them actually makes money and just runs on investment so there is a good chance bubble will drop and the price of PC equipment will... continue to rise as US gives up Taiwan to China

                                                                                                                                                                  • dns_snek 8 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                    > Stop thinking billion dollar publicly traded companies are "cool" just because they make widget you like.

                                                                                                                                                                    Anthropic is a private company but nevertheless, the sentiment is accurate and applies to all kinds of corporations.

                                                                                                                                                                  • andai 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                    What I want to know is how did they make the only LLM that doesn't sound cringe?

                                                                                                                                                                    I think it has something to do with mode collapse (although Claude certainly has its own "tells"), but I'm not sure.

                                                                                                                                                                    It sounds trivial but even for Agentic, I found the writing style to be really important. When you give Claude a persona, it sounds like the thing. When you give GPT a persona, it sounds like GPT half-assedly pretending to be the thing.

                                                                                                                                                                    ---

                                                                                                                                                                    Some other interesting points about Anthropic's models. I don't know if any of these relate to my LLM style question, but seems worth mentioning:

                                                                                                                                                                    Claude models also use way less tokens for the same task (on ArtificialAnalysis, they are a clear outlier on this metric).

                                                                                                                                                                    And there's a much stronger common sense, subjectively. (Not sure if we have a good way to actually measure that, though.) It takes context and common sense into account, to a much greater degree.

                                                                                                                                                                    (Which ties in with their constitution. Understanding why things are wrong at a deeper level, rather than just surface level pattern matching.)

                                                                                                                                                                    Opus is great but it should be bigger. You notice the difference between Sonnet and Opus, but with heavy use you notice Opus's limitations, too.

                                                                                                                                                                    • hirako2000 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                      Good read on the situation.

                                                                                                                                                                      It all boils down to a brilliant but extremely expensive technology. Both to build and to run.

                                                                                                                                                                      We've been sold a product with heavy subsidy. The idea (from Sam) scale out and see what happens.

                                                                                                                                                                      Those who care to read between the lines can see what's happening. A perfect storm of demand that attract VCs who can't understand they are the real customers. Once they understand that it will be too late.

                                                                                                                                                                      Regarding open weight models: eventually we will, as humanity, benefit from the astronomical capital poured into developing a technology ahead of its time. In a few years this and even more will run on edge.

                                                                                                                                                                      Written by open source developers, likely former openai and anthropic employees who got so much cash in the bank they don't need to worry about renting their knowledge.

                                                                                                                                                                      • jhancock 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                        What leads you to say China AI is giving up on open weights?

                                                                                                                                                                        I've been using GLM for over 6 months and pretty happy.

                                                                                                                                                                        • PunchyHamster 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                          Why would any company release open weights once the investment money stops ?

                                                                                                                                                                          Releasing open weights have been basically a PR move, the moment those companies need to actually make money they will cut it out as that reduces their client base.

                                                                                                                                                                          They DO NOT want you to run AI. They want you to pay them to do it

                                                                                                                                                                          • Zetaphor 9 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                            Minimax just released a new model yesterday. You're conflating one company with a countries entire industry. There's more than just Qwen coming out of China.

                                                                                                                                                                            • jhancock 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                              ok. maybe. I don't know. I'm asking how you know.

                                                                                                                                                                              z.ai did go public on the HK exchange. They are under pressures similar to other public companies.

                                                                                                                                                                              I know that China models are increasingly being trained and run using Huawei chips instead of Nvidia. I know China has a surplus of electricity from renewables (wind, solar, hydro).

                                                                                                                                                                              • cyanydeez 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                open weights is a way to nerf your opponent and is meaningless to your business if you need to retrain a model because your trailing

                                                                                                                                                                                So, it makes a lot of sense to get people a "demo" and claim the paid product is better.

                                                                                                                                                                                i think a lot of people have no idea how capable local models are atm.

                                                                                                                                                                                • jeremyjh 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                  Two years ago a lot of people thought GPT-4o was usable for software development. I didn’t really find that to be the case in general but certainly it could do a lot of useful things. And now Qwen3.5-8B is just as capable and runs fine on an M2 MacBook Air.

                                                                                                                                                                                  • cyanydeez 5 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                    QWEN3.5 coder next runs to ~84k context before it poops out on AMD395+ w/128GB. Most of what it's good at is boilerplate find/replace/copy/paste; but being able to scaffold things out and touch up 20-30% of the code is pretty sweet.

                                                                                                                                                                              • Zetaphor 9 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                People keep repeating this without any real thought behind it because of the high profile resignations on the Qwen team. Meanwhile the Minimax team just released a new open weights version of their 229B model yesterday. So much for that narrative.

                                                                                                                                                                                The AI landscape in China is larger than just Qwen and Alibaba.

                                                                                                                                                                                • andriy_koval 4 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                  > Meanwhile the Minimax team just released a new open weights version of their 229B model yesterday.

                                                                                                                                                                                  its under new license prohibiting any commercial use.

                                                                                                                                                                                  • Zetaphor 2 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                    The statement was that China was giving up on open weights, they didn't say anything about licensing. Licensing on these models has always been hit or miss depending on which lab and which release.

                                                                                                                                                                                    • andriy_koval 2 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                      but context of the statement is discussion about corps do grab and rent strategy. My understanding is that referenced Chinese model can't be argument in this context, and there is no recent 200B+ params Chinese models with friendly license.

                                                                                                                                                                                      That license is more like business source license vs open source license.

                                                                                                                                                                                  • dns_snek 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                    Of course, but for how long? Do you think that companies will keep giving away valuable assets for free forever, or do you think that in the near future there's going to be an open weights model that's so good that people keep using it indefinitely instead of going back to frontier model providers?

                                                                                                                                                                                    The first one is just incredibly naive, the second might be true for some people, for some tasks, but it's not going to capture the majority who're chasing the latest and greatest to "keep up".

                                                                                                                                                                                    • bachmeier 4 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                      > Do you think that companies will keep giving away valuable assets for free forever

                                                                                                                                                                                      If China is forced to choose between giving the entire AI market to the US or releasing free models, they'll be releasing free models as long as it's necessary.

                                                                                                                                                                                      • Throaway199999 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                        the asset's value is in being released, so yes

                                                                                                                                                                                        • dns_snek 4 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                          What does that mean?

                                                                                                                                                                                          • Throaway199999 2 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                            Every time you release the models you even the playing field out for the competition, which ruins a lot of the advantage your bigger competitors had. It also lets smaller players work on the latest tech and then you can make deals with them.

                                                                                                                                                                                  • marcus_cemes 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                    > We need open weights companies now more than ever.

                                                                                                                                                                                    If you're objective it to democratize AI, sure. But for those fed up with it and the devastating effects it's having on students, for example, can opt to actively avoid paying for products with AI (I say this as someone who uses it every day, guilty). At some point large companies will see that they're bleeding money for something that most people don't seem to want, and cancel those $100k/mo deals. I've already experienced one AI-developer-turned company crash and burn.

                                                                                                                                                                                    Personally, I don't think this LLM-based AI generation will have any significant positive impacts. Time, energy (CO2) and money would have been far better spent elsewhere.

                                                                                                                                                                                    • Zetaphor 2 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                      There's plenty of valuable use cases for being able to give natural language instructions to a tool and have it act on that input. I do however agree that the current hype and valuations far exceed the real value being offered.

                                                                                                                                                                                      Like with the dot com bubble there will be a crash and then whatever shakes out of that will be the companies and products who invested in understanding the actual strengths and weaknesses of the tech, instead of just trying to slap an "AI" sticker on everything.

                                                                                                                                                                                    • magic_hamster 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                      > End of the PC era, there's nothing to tinker with anymore. And certainly no gradient for entrepreneurship for once-skilled labor capital.

                                                                                                                                                                                      This one seems too far fetched. Training models is widespread. There will always be open weight models in some form, and if we assume there will be some advancements in architecture, I bet you could also run them on much leaner devices. Even today you can run models on Raspberry Pis. I don't see a reason this will stop being a thing, there will be plenty of ways to tinker.

                                                                                                                                                                                      However, keep in mind the masses don't care about tinkering and never have. People want a ChatGPT experience, not a pytorch experience. In essence this is true for all tech products, not just AI.

                                                                                                                                                                                      • slashdave 3 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                        When did Hacker News become a fountain of dystopian science fiction?

                                                                                                                                                                                    • alpha_squared 4 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                      I'm pretty sure this is an attempt by both companies to shape a reasonable finance story for their eventual IPO. They need to make this look a lot better than a pump and dump (raising on wild valuations then offloading onto public investors).

                                                                                                                                                                                      • stavros 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                        It feels like I'm getting less and less for my money every day. A few weeks ago I was programming all week and never getting close to the limit, yesterday half my weekly limit went away in a day. Changing the limits mid-subscription is just theft.

                                                                                                                                                                                        • wouldbecouldbe 5 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                          Developers are a tough crowd, stubborn, know it alls.

                                                                                                                                                                                          • throwpoaster 1 hour ago

                                                                                                                                                                                            Generally, across AI providers, I have come to interpret sudden degradation in existing capabilities as a signal that a new, more expensive, product tier is about to launch.

                                                                                                                                                                                            • faangguyindia 9 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                              This is actually great feature, you can do bait and switch with AI.

                                                                                                                                                                                              • sneak 2 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                They broke my openclaw last week; I switched to “extra usage” and prepaid a grand for same.

                                                                                                                                                                                                A few days later it simply stopped working again, API authentication error. What must I do to have working, paid, premium service?

                                                                                                                                                                                                Screwing around with it today, it works 5x slower and times out all of the time. I'm paying more and getting waaaaay less. Why can't companies just raise prices like normal?

                                                                                                                                                                                                • OtomotO 2 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                  I measured it for my specific usecases and have cancelled my Anthropic subscription (the Max x20 Plan)

                                                                                                                                                                                                  • motbus3 4 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                    I think so, but more than that, the performance of those tools seems to be terribly degrading when they keep saying they have created some crap like AGI which we know is a lie.

                                                                                                                                                                                                    And to me, this lie is mostly a fight to see who bites the biggest chunk of the war death machine.

                                                                                                                                                                                                    • estimator7292 8 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                      I can't believe how quickly they went from riding high on anti-OpenAI sentiment post-DOD fiasco, to shooting themselves and all their users new and old in the foot.

                                                                                                                                                                                                      The ideal time to make your product worse is probably not at the same point that all of your competitor's customers are looking. Anthropic really, really fucked up here.

                                                                                                                                                                                                      And beyond that, there's a ton of people who are just regular 9-5 Claude CLI users with an enterprise subscription who are getting punished with a worse model at the same price just as if we were Claw users. This kind of thing does not make one feel warm and fuzzy. I feel like I just got a boot to the teeth.

                                                                                                                                                                                                      • jeremyjh 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                        The hypothesis that makes the most sense is not that they are idiots, but that they have no choice. They cannot meet the new demand. So they’ve quantized the model.

                                                                                                                                                                                                      • pstuart 5 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                        The past two weeks I've had code that was delivered and declared as done (it did pass tests) but failed in a review by Codex. This has looped to a painful extent. The code in question deals with concurrency issues so there's an acknowledgement that its tricker, but still, I expect more from Claude.

                                                                                                                                                                                                        • felixgallo 7 hours ago
                                                                                                                                                                                                        • foofloobar 1 hour ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                          Claude Code and the subscription are now less useful than a few months ago. Claude Code and the service seem to pick up more and more issues as time goes by: more bugs, fast quota drain, reduced quota, poor model performance, cache invalidation problems, MCP related bugs, potential model quantization and other problems.

                                                                                                                                                                                                          Claude Code was able to implement something in one shot. It was decent for a proof of concept initial implementation. It's barely able to do work now with full specs and detailed plans.

                                                                                                                                                                                                          ChatGPT is also being watered down.

                                                                                                                                                                                                          It seems obvious that Anthropic and OpenAI aren't the solution to any problem.

                                                                                                                                                                                                          • trollbridge 1 hour ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                            I caught up with a friend who said he's really happy with Cursor (currently using the multi-model option where it composes, and reserving use of Opus 4.6 for only when he actually needs the extra power).

                                                                                                                                                                                                            Quite interesting considering all the claims that Cursor was dead a few months ago.

                                                                                                                                                                                                            • foofloobar 58 minutes ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                              I wouldn't trust another company either. Some people have reported some issues with Cursor. The solution is probably not a cloud API with unknown quotas or pay as you go pricing.

                                                                                                                                                                                                            • ecocentrik 56 minutes ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                              They are clearly straining under new demand and everyone is being served highly quantized models without notice.

                                                                                                                                                                                                            • albert_e 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                              So a side effect of this is -- even at 1 hour caching -- ...

                                                                                                                                                                                                              If you run out of session quota too quickly and need to wait more than an hour to resume your work ... you are paying even more penalty just to resume your work -- a penalty you wouldnt have needed if session quota was not so restrictive in first place, and which in turn causes you to burn through next session quota even faster.

                                                                                                                                                                                                              Seems like a vicious cycle that made the UX very poor. I remember Claude Code with Pro became virtually unuseable in middle of March with session quota expiring within first hour or less for me -- which was wildly different experience from early March.

                                                                                                                                                                                                              • cassianoleal 12 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                The title should be changed. It makes it look like they upped the TTL from 1 h to 5 months.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                The SI symbol for minutes is "min", not "M".

                                                                                                                                                                                                                A compromise would be to use the OP notation "m".

                                                                                                                                                                                                              • par 29 minutes ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                Claude code has gone down hill in a really bad way. It is often far too quick to make significant changes, and requires much higher level of hand-holding and explanation than I am used to. r/claudecode on reddit shows a litany of complaints!

                                                                                                                                                                                                                • disillusioned 12 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  It's also routinely failing the car wash question across all models now, which wasn't the case a month ago. :-/

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Seeing some things about how the effort selector isn't working as intended necessarily and the model is regressing in other ways: over-emphasizing how "difficult" a problem is to solve and choosing to avoid it because of the "time" it would take, but quoted in human effort, or suggesting the "easier" path forward even if it's a hack or kludge-filled solution.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • tetraodonpuffer 3 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    it does feel something in the hidden system prompt makes it try less hard, so many times in the past several weeks I have found divergences with what was in plan and looking back at the jsonl it's always some variant of "doing it this way would be too complicated, let me take this hardcoded way out". If asked to review the change, it will find it, and it will say also yeah I agree prompt said not to do this, but I did anyways, not sure why.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    As others have said, anthropic is between a rock and a hard place, you can't scale compute as quickly, and the influx of new accounts has definitely made things tough for them: I think all the "how is claude this session 1/2/3/4" questions that keep coming up must be part of some a/b on just how far to quantize / lower thinking while still maintaining user satisfaction.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • andai 9 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      > over-emphasizing how "difficult" a problem is to solve and choosing to avoid it because of the "time" it would take

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      I heard a while back Claude refused to attempt a task for days, saying it would take weeks of work. Eventually the user convinced it to try, and it one-shotted it in 30 seconds.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • apetresc 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        For days? Someone spent days trying to convince Claude to do something?

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • layer8 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          If you asked yesterday, and asked again today, then you asked for days. OP might be trying to express that it wasn’t just a temporary fluke.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • empath75 2 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          I have noticed refusals as context windows grow.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • _blk 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Awesome, I didn't know about the car wash question.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Totally true, also tokens seem to burn through much faster. More parallelism could explain some of it but where I could work on 3-5 projects at once on the max plan a month ago, I can't even get one to completion now on the same Opus model before the 5h session locks me up..

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • colechristensen 4 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            >“idgaf about risk you coward, waste some time just do it and stop bitching”

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            The above was a successful prompt to get Claude to stop whining about effort, difficulty, and time.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Unfortunately abusive language well placed is an effective LLM motivator.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • benced 4 hours ago
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • supermdguy 3 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Bizarre reading the thread, it feels like their Claude responding to the other posters’ Claudes

                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • phreack 2 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                That was my immediate impression too! It feels like it's all AI maximalists who seem to have a need to filter their every interaction through an LLM. And the result looks and reads just like Moltbook.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • dnw 3 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Interesting that they actually acknowledge there was a change on March 6th. Kudos to the prompt analysis work that uncovered it!

                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • hattimaTim 2 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Classic scammer tactics: first, lure users in by promising a huge deal, then scam the hell out of them.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • hirako2000 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  There is a chef, he opens a restaurant. Delicious food.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  It costs him more in ingredients alone than he charges. He even offers some pseudo unlimited buffet, combo sets, and happy hours.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  He announced a new restaurant, apparently it will be even better, so good he's a bit worried. He makes sure to share his worries while he picks a few select enterprise for business parties and the likes.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  In the meantime he cracks down on free buffet goers who happen to eat too much, and downgrades all ingredients without notice to finally hope to make a profit.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • MattRix 4 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    This is close, but the real problem isn’t that the food is underpriced, it’s that the supply of ingredients is severely limited.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • embedding-shape 6 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Pretty much capitalism in a nut shell, yeah.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • davidkuennen 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    On slightly off topic note: Codex is absolutely fantastic right now. I'm constantly in awe since switching from Claude a week ago.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • yukIttEft 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      I'm currently "working" on a toy 3d Vulkan Physx thingy. It has a simple raycast vehicle and I'm trying to replace it with the PhysX5 built in one (https://nvidia-omniverse.github.io/PhysX/physx/5.6.1/docs/Ve...)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      I point it to example snippets and webdocumentation but the code it gens won't work at all, not even close

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Opus4.6 is a tiny bit less wrong than Codex 5.4 xhigh, but still pretty useless.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      So, after reading all the success stories here and everywhere, I'm wondering if I'm holding it wrong or if it just can't solve everything yet.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • 59nadir 22 minutes ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        LLMs can really only mostly do trivial things still, they're always going to do very bad work outside of what your average web developer does day-to-day, and even those things aren't a slam dunk in many cases.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • shdh 1 hour ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          I’ve noticed the models still can’t complete complex tasks

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Such as:

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Adding fine curl noise to a volumetric smoke shader

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Fixing an issue with entity interpolation in an entity/snapshot netcode

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Find some rendering bugs related to lightmaps not loading in particular cases, and it actually introduced this bug.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Just basic stuff.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • computerex 29 minutes ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            They are definitely behind in 3D graphics from my experience. But surprisingly decent at HPC/low level programming. I think they are definitely training on ML stuff to perhaps kick off recursive self improvement.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • neomantra 6 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            While I’ve had tremendous success with Golang projects and Typescript Web Apps, when I tried to use Metal Mesh Shaders in January, both Codex and Claude both had issues getting it right.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            That sort of GPU code has a lot of concepts and machinery, it’s not just a syntax to express, and everything has to be just right or you will get a blank screen. I also use them differently than most examples; I use it for data viz (turning data into meshes) and most samples are about level of detail. So a double whammy.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            But once I pointed either LLM at my own previous work — the code from months of my prior personal exploration and battles for understanding, then they both worked much better. Not great, but we could make progress.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            I also needed to make more mini-harnesses / scaffolds for it to work through; in other words isolating its focus, kind of like test-driven development.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • seba_dos1 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              It works somewhat well with trivial things. That's where most of these success stories are coming from.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • shdh 59 minutes ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Exactly this, the SNR is polluted by this anecdata because someone was able to implement a CRUD backend they couldn’t before

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • layer8 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                My impression is that it always comes down to how well what you’re trying to do pattern-matches the training set.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • embedding-shape 6 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  When it comes to agents like codex and CC it seems to come down to how well you can describe what you want to do, and how well you can steer it to create its own harness to troubleshoot/design properly. Once you have that down, I haven't found a lot of things you cannot do.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • layer8 6 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Breaking down and describing things in sufficient detail can be one way to ensure that the LLM can match it to its implicit knowledge. It still depends on what you’re trying to do in how much detail you have to spell out things to the LLM. It’s almost a tautology that there’s always some level of description that the LLM will be able to take up.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • embedding-shape 4 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Well, not just breaking down the task at hand, but also how you instruct it to do any work. Just saying "Do X" will give you very different results from "Do X, ensure Y, then verify with Z", regardless of what tasks you're asking it to do.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      That's also how you can get the LLM to do stuff outside of the training data in a reasonably good way, by not just including the _what_ in the prompt, but also the _how_.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • nothinkjustai 2 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Nah, it only lives up to the hype for crud apps and web ui. As soon as you stop doing webshit it becomes way less useful.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  (Don’t get mad at me, I’m a webshit developer)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • lukan 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    " or if it just can't solve everything yet."

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Obviously it cannot. But if you give the AI enough hints, clear spec, clear documentation and remove all distracting information, it can solve most problems.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • shdh 1 hour ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Most simple problems with plenty of prior art, sure

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • wg0 8 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Most of the folks are building CRUD apps with AI and that works fine.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      What you're doing is more specialized and these models are useless there. It's not intelligence.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Another NFT/Crypto era is upon us so no you're not holding it wrong.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • MattRix 4 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        This is pretty wrong. Anyone who thinks this stuff is similar to NFTs and crypto hasn’t been paying attention.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • toenail 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    I have also switched from claude to codex a few weeks ago. After deciding to let agents only do focused work I needed less context, and the work was easier to review. Then I realized codex can deliver the same quality, and it's paid through my subscription instead of per token.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • vidarh 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Codex has been good quality wise, but I hit limits on the Codex team subscription so quickly it's almost more hassle that it is worth.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • lifty 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        I made this switch months ago, ChatGPT 5.4 being a smarter model, but I’ve had subjective feelings of degradation even on 5.4 lately. There’s a lot of growth in usage right now so not sure what kind of optimizations their doing at both companies

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • lores 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          I would switch to Codex, but Altman is such a naked sociopath and OpenAI so devoid of ethical business practices that I can't in good conscience. I'm not under any illusion that Anthropic is ethical, but it is so far a step up from OpenAI.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • groundzeros2015 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Enemy centered decision making

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • nh2 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Cannot you use Codex (which is open source, unlike Claude Code) with Claude, even via Amazon Bedrock?

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • embedding-shape 6 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Codex with Anthrophic's models is not as good as using the models with the harness it was trained in mine for. Same goes vice-versa too.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • bob1029 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                I'm with you on the ethical part, but everything is a spectrum. All the AI leadership are some shade of evil. There's no way the product would be effective if they weren't. I don't like that Sam Altman is a lunatic, but frankly they all are. I also recognize that these are massive companies filled with non shitty engineers who are actually responsible for a lot of the magic. Conflating one charlatan with the rest of it is a tragedy of nuance.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • subscribed 8 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Yeah, but there's distinct difference between "risks their company because they refuse to help with killing little kids" and "happily helping with genocide".

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  One of these is better.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • onion2k 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                I use Codex at home and Opus at work. They're both brilliant.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • layer8 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                From the recent-ish Dwarkesh podcast, Anthropic seems to be wary about buying/building too much compute [0]. That probably means that they have to attempt to minimize compute usage when there is a surge in demand. Following the argument in the podcast, throwing more money after them, as some in this thread are suggesting, won’t solve the issue, at least not in the short term.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                [0] https://www.dwarkesh.com/i/187852154/004620-if-agi-is-immine...

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • shdh 55 minutes ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Likely accurate

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  This tends to happen during pretraining phase of new models

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Happened with 3.x too

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • Tarcroi 13 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  This coincides with Anthropic's peak-hour announcement (March 26th). Could the throttling be partly a response to infrastructure load that was itself inflated by the TTL regression?

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • HauntingPin 12 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    It would be too fucking funny if this were the case. They're vibe coding their infrastructure and they vibe coded their response to the increased load.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • KronisLV 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      You'd think they would have dashboards for all of this stuff, to easily notice any change in metrics and be able to track down which release was responsible for it.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • HauntingPin 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        They probably do, then they pipe it into a bunch of Claude subagents and then you get the current mess.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • zeckalpha 1 hour ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    I find similar happening with Gemini Pro. Despite paying for Pro, it regularly locks me out, without visibility into consumption. Nothing on the plan comparison page indicates limits. https://one.google.com/about/plans

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Edit: I may have conflated these two threads. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47739260

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • perks_12 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Just give us the option to get the quality back, Anthropic. I get that even a $200 subscription is not possible eventually, but give us the option to sub the $1000 tier or tell us to use the API tier, but give us some consistency.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • jwr 8 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        This. I get much more value than 90€ from my Claude Code subscription. I am willing to pay more for consistency and not having to watch my back all the time, because I might get screwed over.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • pkaye 2 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Actually I remember the change being reported in the Reddit /r/claueai chat back around that time frame. I was concerned that it would increase costs but nobody made a fuss so I presumed it was not a big deal.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • ikekkdcjkfke 12 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          If youre reading this claude, people are willing to pay extra if you want to make more money, just please stop doing this undermining, it devreases the trust of your platform to something that cannot be relied on

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • andai 9 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            It looks like selling reputation to save money.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            But more likely they are constrained on GPUs and can't get them fast enough.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            (My guess having no understanding of how this industry actually works.)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • bsaul 6 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            could it be that anthropic is experiencing a massive shortage of compute capacity, and is desperately trying to find means to overcome it ?

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            All the news i hear about this company for the past weeks made it sound like they're really desperate.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • eaf7e281 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              I think they changed the quantification to save computer power for their new model. This might be why the benchmark scores look good, but the real world performance is much worse. I'm wondering if they're testing the model internally and didn't find anything wrong with the new parameter.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              I canceled my subscription and switched to a codex, but it's not as good. I'm tired of Anthropic changing things all the time. I use Claude because it doesn't redirect you to a different model like OpenAI does. But now it seems like both companies are doing the same thing in different way.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • throwaway2027 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Claude is worse, they don't tell you when your experience has degraded and don't even let you use worse models if you run out any.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • lordmoma 3 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Claude Code is not performing on par since September 2025, there was already a huge backlash then, and many people just keep cheering for CC every time it made some model upgrade or TUI change, it just feels so unreal.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • c16 3 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  I’ve definitely noticed in evenings it stops trying as hard to solve the issue and suggests I go find the answer. Never the case in the morning.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • throwaway2027 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    I also noticed this, just resuming something eats up your entire session. The past two weeks also felt like a substantial downgrade and made me regret renewing my subscription, it sucks because I wish I kept my Codex subscription instead and renewed that.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • beering 1 hour ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Are you locked into your current subscription?

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • foobar10000 5 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      So, this especially bites if your validation step (let’s say integration tests) take 1hr plus. The harness is just waiting, prefix caching should happily resume things with just a minor new prefill chunk of output from the harness, and bam - completely new prefill.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • azuanrb 7 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        As a Pro user, even though these issues and bugs are “new,” the downgrade has been noticeable since January. I’ve unsubscribed because the Pro plan is no longer usable for me.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        It’s only making the news now because it’s affecting Max users as well ($100/$200 plans). I understand the need for change, but having zero communication about it is just wrong.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • computerex 37 minutes ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Good job anthropic. You had a clear lead with all devs singing the praises of Opus. Way to lose all that by Enshittifying the experience.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • snowstormsun 2 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Well, the 10x promised revenue increase must come from somewhere...

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • willworktill4pm 3 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              This Friday CC wrote wall off gibberish text for me. No reason, happened twice with different gibberish text

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              https://ibb.co/4wcVQG5k

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • beering 1 hour ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                maybe numerics issues after quantization? Looks like it really went off the rails

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • throwaway2027 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                It's absolutely ridiculous how stupid Claude is now. I sometimes notice it and last year too but it feels like it's just last year before December model.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • motbus3 4 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                The TOS basically states you need to deal with whatever they want.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Meanwhile their 'best' competitor just announced they want to provide unreliable mass destruction guidance tools but they don't wanna feel said.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Honestly speaking, we are wrong whenever we do business with this sort of people

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • bigyabai 4 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  > The TOS basically states you need to deal with whatever they want.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  FWIW that's what most TOSes say for the majority of online services. Some even include arbitration clauses to prevent civil suits and class-action cases.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • poly2it 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  One of the largest AI companies on Earth cannot figure out an algorithm for when not to drop caches in long-running sessions?

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • the_mitsuhiko 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Since I (until Anthropic decided to remove access for subs) used Anthropic models extensively with pi I explored the two caching options and the much higher cost of 1h caches is almost never a good tradeoff.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Since the caching really primarily is something they can be judged at scale from across many users I can only assume that Anthropic looked at their infra load and impact and made a very intentional change.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • PunchyHamster 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Well, how entirely expected. The money man comes to collect and they are squeezing for money

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • sscaryterry 12 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Anthropic is leaving so much evidence around… proving damages and a pattern is becoming trivial

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • taffydavid 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          This is the same shit openAI used to do last year, quietly downgrading their offerings while hyping the next big thing. I thought Anthropic were different but it seems they're playing the exact same long con with Mythos.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          They can't really revolutionize AI again so they make the product worse and worse and then offer you a "better" one

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • yobid20 1 hour ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            i thought it was always 5 minutes? ive been telling people 5 minutes for months so i dont think this is anything new?

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • coffinbirth 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Am I the only one who sees striking parallels between being a Claude Code customer and Cuckoldry (as in biology)?

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              I mean, you are investing a lot (infrastructure and capital) into something that is essentially not yours. You claim credit for the offspring (the solution) simply because it resides in your workspace. You accept foreign code to make your project appear more successful and populated than you could manage alone. Your over-reliance on a surrogate for the heavy lifting leads to the loss of your own survival skills (coding and debugging). Last but not least, you handle the grunt work of territory defense (clients and environments) while the AI performs the actual act of creation (Displaced Agency).

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              • the_gipsy 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                What you're looking for is "vendor lock-in".

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • PunchyHamster 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  No, but it's very funny, I'm gonna call people that offshore their thinking to LLM "AI cucks" now

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                • simianwords 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  There’s a case for intelligent caching: coarse grained 1h and 5min type TTls are not optimal.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • PunchyHamster 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Caching LLM is not like caching normal content; the longer it is the more beneficial it is and it only stops being worth when user stops current session.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    So you'd need some adaptive algorithm to decide when to keep caching and when to purge it whole, possibly on client side, but if you give client the control, people will make it use most cache possible just to chase diminishing returns. So fine grained control here isn't all that easy; other possible option is just to have cache size per account and then intelligently purge it instead of relying just on TTL

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • cyanydeez 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      keep in mind, efficient KV caching needs to be next to the GPU, so you sls need you HA to keep routing the user to the same hardware.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      the hardware VM model is almost identical. Each session can go anywhere to start but a live session cant just be routed anywhere without penalty.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  • mrdw 8 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    I noticed another limitation: "An image in the conversation exceeds the dimension limit for many-image requests (2000px). Start a new session with fewer images."

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    So I can't continue my claude code session I started yesterday.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    • sunnybeetroot 11 minutes ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Double tap ESC and revert the conversation.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • beering 1 hour ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        makes sense, “a picture is worth a thousand tokens” as they say. They probably lowered the limit due to capacity issues.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      • ares623 11 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        AGI finding bugs again. Actual Guys/Gals Instead.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        • WhereIsTheTruth 10 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Changing "regression" to "Anthropic silently downgraded" sensationalizes the story

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Why the FUD?

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          I notice some interesting public opinion weather change since Anthropic passed OpenAI wrt revenue

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • subscribed 8 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            From the response in the linked issue:

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            >> Was there a change? Yes — March 6, intentional, part of ongoing cache optimization. You pinpointed the date correctly.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            The entire issue lays out how and why it's a silent downgrade. Also silent because it just happened, without announcing.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            I don't understand how is this FUD?

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          • taf2 3 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            I don't understand who's still using anthropic? The model produces more bugs and agrees to solutions that are clearly wrong at a much higher rate then codex. Codex produces significantly better code with fewer bugs and far less oversight. with /fast on codex it's not even slower then claude and consider it implements working code more reliably you have to use it less anyway. Beside anthropic appears to be more focused on fear mongering and other types of FUD and is a more closed solution I do not understand why so many people still appear to care what anthropic does and have not already moved on? </rant>

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            • siscia 5 hours ago

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Lately I am finding myself doing more and more of what I called "ambient coding" so that I am not directly using anymore all of those coding harnesses.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              https://redbeardlab.gitbook.io/acem/essays/ambient-developme...

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              I basically wrote a small GitHub app and I simply create a GitHub issue, the bot read it, run an LLM loop and come up with a PR (or a design)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Then I simply approve the pr (or the design)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              I find it much calmer and much more productive